海外新闻 发表于 2024-6-17 09:00:53

一季度全球GDP前十出炉

<!----><style type="text/css">html{font-size:375%}</style><link href="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/static/publish/css/style.css?v=1605251010513" rel="stylesheet" position="1" data-qf-origin="/static/publish/css/style.css?v=1605251010513"><!--    付费贴-->    <div class="preview_article ">            <!---->    <p class="qf_image big noneditable" contenteditable="false"><img src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/backend/20240617095722_17_FjJMnwsTLmK6pxDI9K55KgilgqLH.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" alt="" width="1080" height="577" data-qf-thumb="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/backend/20240617095722_17_FjJMnwsTLmK6pxDI9K55KgilgqLH.jpg?imageView2/2/w/1080|watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" data-qf-origin="backend/20240617095722_17_FjJMnwsTLmK6pxDI9K55KgilgqLH.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" data-qf-thumb-origin="backend/20240617095722_17_FjJMnwsTLmK6pxDI9K55KgilgqLH.jpg?imageView2/2/w/1080|watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" /></p><p class="" style="text-align: left;">&nbsp;</p><p class="" style="text-align: left;">一季度全球GDP排行榜出炉了。在全球主要经济体中,表现最为亮眼的有两个国家,一个是美国,另一个是印度。美国在主要发达经济体中,以2.8%的增速,位居第一,堪称是遥遥领先的地位。因为经济越发达,体量越大,增速就越慢。我们光看美国2.8%的增速,好像有点低。可是,对比德国、法国、日本、意大利等发达国家,就知道,美国不仅增速快,还遥遥领先了。</p><p class="" style="text-align: left;">在全球前十名中,7个发达国家中,只有美国GDP增速达到了2.8%,其他发达国家增速全部低于1%。其中,德国、日本最惨,GDP一季度陷入负增长。日本GDP负增长,主要原因是日元贬值太厉害了,汇率创34年来新低,经济增长全部被汇率所吞噬了。日本人这一年,基本上是又白忙了。</p><p class="qf_image big noneditable" contenteditable="false"><img src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/backend/20240617095756_17_Fi8yjMLyAPY3vmLsLLr2RH9YBq-P.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" alt="" width="1063" height="843" data-qf-thumb="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/backend/20240617095756_17_Fi8yjMLyAPY3vmLsLLr2RH9YBq-P.jpg?imageView2/2/w/1080|watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" data-qf-origin="backend/20240617095756_17_Fi8yjMLyAPY3vmLsLLr2RH9YBq-P.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" data-qf-thumb-origin="backend/20240617095756_17_Fi8yjMLyAPY3vmLsLLr2RH9YBq-P.jpg?imageView2/2/w/1080|watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" /></p><p>德国GDP负增长则主要是俄乌战争所导致,制造成本、能源成本抬升,产业向外迁移,引以为傲的汽车产业,也遭到中国新能源的强烈冲击。但因为欧元汇率比较稳定,当德日两国比烂时,因为日本经济表现得更烂,德国反倒超过日本,跻身全球第三了。</p><p class="qf_image big noneditable" contenteditable="false"><img src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/backend/20240617095901_17_Fv6AHicefVLIDIeJo96mVTfvOqpN.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" alt="" width="1080" height="648" data-qf-thumb="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/backend/20240617095901_17_Fv6AHicefVLIDIeJo96mVTfvOqpN.jpg?imageView2/2/w/1080|watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" data-qf-origin="backend/20240617095901_17_Fv6AHicefVLIDIeJo96mVTfvOqpN.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" data-qf-thumb-origin="backend/20240617095901_17_Fv6AHicefVLIDIeJo96mVTfvOqpN.jpg?imageView2/2/w/1080|watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" /></p><p class="" style="text-align: left;">&nbsp;</p><p class="" style="text-align: left;">很多自媒体博主会疯狂鼓吹,日本终于走出了30年来的经济低谷,楼市上涨,股市上涨,迎来了久违的繁荣。东京已经成为全球房价上涨最高的城市。可他们没说的是,日本依然有超过900万套闲置的房子,每7套房子,就有一套闲置。这些闲置房子因为建筑时间太久了,早就退出了交易市场,丧失了流通价值。因此,这些房子不会对日本的房价产生负面影响。</p><p>说白了就是,你现在挂牌出售的房子,挂了30年也没人买。你这个房子对整个房价已经起不到作用了。那东京房价是怎么炒起来的呢?一个是,日元大幅贬值,吸引美元热钱流入。二个是,东京市政府严格控制供地,每个月只增加供应2300套房子,全年才供应新房2.8万套。可东京有多少人口?1400万人口。在人为地制造稀缺后,热钱涌入,东京房价想不涨都难。</p><p class="qf_image big noneditable" contenteditable="false"><img src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/backend/20240617095936_17_FgUfehT09LKV3j-WZAQ-hIzhGp0E.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" alt="" width="1080" height="729" data-qf-thumb="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/backend/20240617095936_17_FgUfehT09LKV3j-WZAQ-hIzhGp0E.jpg?imageView2/2/w/1080|watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" data-qf-origin="backend/20240617095936_17_FgUfehT09LKV3j-WZAQ-hIzhGp0E.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" data-qf-thumb-origin="backend/20240617095936_17_FgUfehT09LKV3j-WZAQ-hIzhGp0E.jpg?imageView2/2/w/1080|watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" /></p><p class="" style="text-align: left;">&nbsp;</p><p class="" style="text-align: left;">但这并不意味着日本经济强力复苏了,相反,它因为日元贬值太猛,陷入了负增长。真正在高质量、高速度增长的,是印度。印度以7.8%的GDP增速雄踞全球主要经济体第一名。其中,工业制造业产值增长率超过了8%。这意味着,印度经济增长像极了20年前的中国。它不是靠房地产推动的,而是靠承接全球制造业转移,主要增长值来自于工业制造。</p><p>在俄乌战争中,莫迪也做到了美俄通吃,一边大量购入俄罗斯的廉价石油,一边积极靠拢美国,引入美元投资,扩大对美出口。在对印石油出口中,俄罗斯就吃了大亏。双方约定,以印度卢比付款,结果俄罗斯囤了3万亿卢比,根本花不出去。</p><p class="qf_image big noneditable" contenteditable="false"><img src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/backend/20240617095955_17_Fq7Uqb4lEA-mCysNv0xU2JCrnYep.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" alt="" width="1000" height="563" data-qf-thumb="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/backend/20240617095955_17_Fq7Uqb4lEA-mCysNv0xU2JCrnYep.jpg?imageView2/2/w/1080|watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" data-qf-origin="backend/20240617095955_17_Fq7Uqb4lEA-mCysNv0xU2JCrnYep.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" data-qf-thumb-origin="backend/20240617095955_17_Fq7Uqb4lEA-mCysNv0xU2JCrnYep.jpg?imageView2/2/w/1080|watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" /></p><p>在刚刚举办的瑞士和平峰会上,莫迪还可以羞辱了一下普京,特意派遣印度驻俄大使,作为印方代表,前往瑞士参会。也因为俄乌战争,俄罗斯被西方全面制裁,卢布大幅贬值。在最新的全球GDP大国排名中,俄罗斯跌出前十名。按卢布计算,俄罗斯经济增长了5.4%,可按美元计算,俄罗斯经济就不太行了。</p><p>在官方汇率上,俄罗斯卢布兑美元,大约是90比1,但在黑市上,卢布兑美元,已经跌破200比1。在西方禁止莫斯科交易所使用美元、欧元后,莫斯科、圣彼得堡的银行出现了市民排队换美元的场景。这主要是因为,卢布在国际贸易中,无法替代美元。而且,卢布持续贬值,也会平白无故地掏空俄罗斯人的财富,换成美元,反而能够起到资产保值的作用。</p><p class="qf_image big noneditable" contenteditable="false"><img src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/backend/20240617100013_17_FjpZ4ZIYZEUIR2aU_ZedbpDSVJ1R.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" alt="" width="624" height="257" data-qf-thumb="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/backend/20240617100013_17_FjpZ4ZIYZEUIR2aU_ZedbpDSVJ1R.jpg?imageView2/2/w/1080|watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" data-qf-origin="backend/20240617100013_17_FjpZ4ZIYZEUIR2aU_ZedbpDSVJ1R.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" data-qf-thumb-origin="backend/20240617100013_17_FjpZ4ZIYZEUIR2aU_ZedbpDSVJ1R.jpg?imageView2/2/w/1080|watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" /></p><p>&nbsp;</p><p style="text-align: left;">今年一季度,中国GDP增速也不错,增长率为5.3%。不过,因为人民币贬值的原因,按美元计价,中美GDP差距没有缩小,反而被放大了。这是一种独特的美元陷阱。拉丁美洲的巴西、阿根廷等国家,都是因为汇率崩盘,而掉入中等国家陷阱,甚至一夜返贫。要打破这种陷阱,核心在于突破西方的技术垄断,不断地强化工业技术创新,用产业优势来带动人民币升值。</p><p>如果任由货币持续贬值,那我们再拼命地工作,也会被美元所收割。要避免被美元收割,一是要推动人民币出海,二是要稳定人民币汇率,不能再跌了。</p><p class="qf_image big noneditable" contenteditable="false"><img src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/backend/20240617100035_17_Fqs3IIcJc_AjKN9K4BR6GOGbf6zM.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" alt="" width="720" height="455" data-qf-thumb="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/backend/20240617100035_17_Fqs3IIcJc_AjKN9K4BR6GOGbf6zM.jpg?imageView2/2/w/1080|watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" data-qf-origin="backend/20240617100035_17_Fqs3IIcJc_AjKN9K4BR6GOGbf6zM.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" data-qf-thumb-origin="backend/20240617100035_17_Fqs3IIcJc_AjKN9K4BR6GOGbf6zM.jpg?imageView2/2/w/1080|watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" /></p><p>总的来看,全球经济增长形成了两大领头羊。发达国家领头羊是美国,而发展中国家领头羊则变成了印度。印度的潜力是毋庸置疑的,因为印度手里还有一站王牌没有启动,它就是:房地产。</p><p>只要印度启动房地产,大规模推动城镇化,印度GDP超越德国、日本,就是必然的了。不出意外的话,5年后,印度将成为全球第三大经济体。在全球经济中,一个属于中美印的新时代,将拉开序幕。</p><p>来源:澎湃新闻</p>    <!----></div>            

我是导演186715 发表于 2024-6-17 09:14:04

不错,继续努力

Hatar 发表于 2024-6-17 09:14:22

经济发展越来越好,物价上涨越来越高,遥遥领先

cctLps 发表于 2024-6-17 09:57:43

看砖家说的,柬埔寨排不进前十,都对不起砖家

67c66acc35c46 发表于 2024-6-18 12:34:46

专家说地球要超越火影,
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