上万朝鲜特种兵，进入乌克兰战场？
<!----><style type="text/css">html{font-size:375%}</style><link href="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/static/publish/css/style.css?v=20240712" rel="stylesheet" position="1" data-qf-origin="/static/publish/css/style.css?v=20240712"><!-- 付费贴--> <div class="preview_article "> <!----> <section style="text-align: center; margin: 0px 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/FqnKWh9PRPiw0xWaV1G6rEhw9Dca" /></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="font-size: 12px; color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;"><strong style="text-indent: 0em; text-wrap: wrap; text-align: left; caret-color: #222222; color: #222222; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: normal;"><span style="font-size: 12px; font-family: 宋体; color: #7dbb91; letter-spacing: 0.578px;"><strong style="border: 0px none currentcolor;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-size: 12px; outline: 0px; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: center; visibility: visible;"><strong style="outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-size: 12px; font-family: 宋体; outline: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; visibility: visible;"><strong style="outline: 0px; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); letter-spacing: 0.034em; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-size: 12px; outline: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; visibility: visible;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: right; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12px; color: #7dbb91; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; outline: 0px; text-align: left; visibility: visible; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 0em; width: 577.969px !important;">◆10月19日，韩国首尔一个火车站正在播放朝鲜军事新闻。</span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></strong></span></strong></span></section><section style="letter-spacing: 0.578px; white-space: normal; margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-align: left; white-space: normal;"><span style="color: #7dbb91; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px;">文丨陈祥</span></strong><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-align: left; white-space: normal;"><span style="color: #7dbb91; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px;"><br />编辑丨漆菲</span></strong></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">有关朝鲜军人抵达乌克兰战场的消息越来越多。乌克兰相信交战对手多了伊朗和朝鲜，韩国忧虑对手正在乌克兰获取宝贵经验。俄罗斯则始终不承认朝鲜军人以及弹药出现在乌克兰战地。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">俄方最新一次辟谣发生在10月16日。克里姆林宫发言人佩斯科夫重申相关信息是“又一则谣言”：“这不仅是英国情报机构的情报，也是美国情报机构的情报。他们一直在报告此事，但没有提供任何证据。”</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">同一天，北约回应说，现阶段无法确认朝军是否抵达乌克兰。北约秘书长马克·吕特表示：“我们确实知道，朝鲜正在帮助俄罗斯发动针对乌克兰的战争。我们强烈谴责俄罗斯与朝鲜深化军事合作。”</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">美国也做出类似判断。美国国家安全委员会发言人约翰·柯比10月15日表示，无法独立证实有关朝鲜军队代表俄罗斯作战的报道，但“这些报道令我们担忧”。他强调，如果消息属实，美国认为这“将标志着朝鲜和俄罗斯防务关系的显著提升”，“我们显然正在调查这些报道，看看它是否准确”。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">围绕朝鲜国家层面成建制出兵的讨论，各国官方机构、智库与媒体已经议论了几个月，纵然有种种情报支撑，但均使用“疑似”一词。直到10月18日，韩国国家情报院给出了明确说法。</span></section><p style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/FoqAPuu8vVs4a5eLi2T_EjgPzb0i" /></span></p><section style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 24px;"><strong style="text-indent: 0em; text-wrap: wrap; text-align: left; caret-color: #222222; color: #222222; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: normal;"><span style="font-size: 12px; font-family: 宋体; color: #7dbb91; letter-spacing: 0.578px;"><strong style="border: 0px none currentcolor;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><span style="outline: 0px; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: center; visibility: visible;"><strong style="outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-family: 宋体; outline: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; visibility: visible;"><strong style="outline: 0px; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); letter-spacing: 0.034em; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-size: 12px; outline: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; visibility: visible;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: right; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; outline: 0px; text-align: left; visibility: visible; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 0em; width: 577.969px !important;">◆韩国国情院提供的截图，位于俄罗斯沿海州乌苏里斯克的军事设施。</span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></strong></span></strong></section><section style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 24px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">国情院当日发出警告说：“已确定朝鲜已决定派遣包括特种部队在内的4个旅共计1.2万名士兵参加乌克兰战争，并开始调动部队。”与此同时，韩国总统尹锡悦就朝鲜向俄乌冲突部署军队召开紧急安全会议。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">“与会者一致认为，俄罗斯与朝鲜之间的密切军事关系，已从军事物资的流动升级到实际部署，不仅对我国，而且对国际社会都构成了重大安全威胁。”韩国总统室发声明称，“韩国将与国际社会合作，动员一切可用手段，采取相应措施。政府从一开始就与盟国合作，密切关注朝鲜向俄罗斯派遣军队，我们计划继续密切关注局势并主动采取必要措施。”</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">截至发稿，朝俄双方都没有做出针对韩方消息的回应。</span></section><section style="letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-wrap: wrap; margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" style="font-size: var(--articleFontsize); letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-align: center;" src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/Foa6LRGHdDa6i84RGt4UD0Xw0G29" /></section><section style="letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-wrap: wrap; text-align: center; margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><strong style="color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: 10.5pt; letter-spacing: normal; text-indent: 0em;"><span style="color: #68be8d; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.034em; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #68be8d;"><span style="text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #68be8d; letter-spacing: 0.034em; font-family: 宋体;">朝鲜士兵已赴俄培训？</span></span></strong></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">国情院披露了许多细节，力图坐实朝鲜出兵一事。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">情报显示，10月8日到13日，俄海军太平洋舰队的4艘登陆舰和3艘护卫舰来到朝鲜北部的清津、咸兴、舞水端等地，运走首批1500名官兵。预计第二波转运将在近期进行。国情院强调，这是俄海军舰队自1990年以来首次进入朝鲜海域。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">据悉，这批朝鲜士兵被送往滨海边疆区的4个军事基地，分别位于符拉迪沃斯托克、乌苏里斯克、哈巴罗夫斯克、布拉戈维申斯。据称，这些士兵已经领取到俄军的军服与制式武器，开始进行战地适应性训练。为了降低事态敏感性，双方均掩盖了朝军参战的事实，俄方还给朝鲜人伪造了西伯利亚雅库特、布里亚特地区的居民身份证，反正长相类似。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">10月18日，乌军战略通信和信息安全中心（SPRAVDI）公布了一段来自俄罗斯军事博主的视频，一群亚洲人面相的士兵在俄滨海边疆区谢尔盖耶夫斯基训练中心领取装具。他们留着黑色短发，大部分人比较瘦弱，发出“别摔倒”、“出来嘿”等朝鲜口音的短语。军装上的徽章显示，他们隶属于俄罗斯东部军区的部队。</span></section><p style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 0px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img js_insertlocalimg" src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/Fg9-1U9ZsNw1CF_4wkw8ImVXbcmQ" /></p><section style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 24px;"><span style="font-size: 12px; color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;"><strong style="text-indent: 0em; text-wrap: wrap; text-align: left; caret-color: #222222; color: #222222; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: normal;"><span style="font-size: 12px; font-family: 宋体; color: #7dbb91; letter-spacing: 0.578px;"><strong style="border: 0px none currentcolor;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-size: 12px; outline: 0px; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: center; visibility: visible;"><strong style="outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-size: 12px; font-family: 宋体; outline: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; visibility: visible;"><strong style="outline: 0px; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); letter-spacing: 0.034em; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-size: 12px; outline: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; visibility: visible;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: right; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12px; color: #7dbb91; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; outline: 0px; text-align: left; visibility: visible; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 0em; width: 577.969px !important;">◆俄军事博主发布的视频显示，有着朝鲜口音的男子们出现在俄军基地。</span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></strong></span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 24px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">乌克兰国防部情报总局局长布达诺夫透露，到11月1日，预计将有11800名朝鲜士兵完成在乌作战的准备工作。他说得更为详细：“第一营由2600名士兵组成，他们将被归入第11空中突击旅编制内，准备部署到库尔斯克地区。他们拥有布里亚特和雅库特地区的俄罗斯公民身份。”</span></section><p style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="font-size: 12px; color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;"><strong style="text-indent: 0em; text-wrap: wrap; text-align: left; caret-color: #222222; color: #222222; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: normal;"><span style="font-size: 12px; font-family: 宋体; color: #7dbb91; letter-spacing: 0.578px;"><strong style="border: 0px none currentcolor;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-size: 12px; outline: 0px; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: center; visibility: visible;"><strong style="outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-size: 12px; font-family: 宋体; outline: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; visibility: visible;"><strong style="outline: 0px; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); letter-spacing: 0.034em; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-size: 12px; outline: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; visibility: visible;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: right; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12px; color: #7dbb91; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; outline: 0px; text-align: left; visibility: visible; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 0em; width: 577.969px !important;"><span style="color: #222222; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: normal; text-wrap-mode: wrap; background-color: #ffffff;"><img class="js_asyningdom rich_pages wxw-img" src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/Fr1DRsYE-GYeKKOe7XLOH0xH2TpF" /></span></span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></strong></span></strong></span></p><section style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 24px;"><span style="font-size: 12px; color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;"><strong style="text-indent: 0em; text-wrap: wrap; text-align: left; caret-color: #222222; color: #222222; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: normal;"><span style="font-size: 12px; font-family: 宋体; color: #7dbb91; letter-spacing: 0.578px;"><strong style="border: 0px none currentcolor;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-size: 12px; outline: 0px; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: center; visibility: visible;"><strong style="outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-size: 12px; font-family: 宋体; outline: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; visibility: visible;"><strong style="outline: 0px; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); letter-spacing: 0.034em; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-size: 12px; outline: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; visibility: visible;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: right; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12px; color: #7dbb91; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; outline: 0px; text-align: left; visibility: visible; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 0em; width: 577.969px !important;"><span style="outline: 0px; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: center; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; outline: 0px; text-align: left; visibility: visible; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 0em; width: 577.969px !important;">◆乌克兰国防部情报总局局长布达诺夫。</span></span></span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></strong></span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 24px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">通常而言，一个营有300到1000人，而苏俄空降兵的编制规模是出了名的袖珍。难以想象，朝鲜军人罕见组成一个规模超大的营，取名“布里亚特特别营”，还放在空降兵中。当然，其编制可能随时会进行调整。第 11 近卫空中突击旅自 1968年成立后一直驻扎远东地区，几经更改番号。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">据国情院分析，朝鲜很可能派出了最精锐特种部队即第11集团军的官兵，该集团军绰号“暴风军团”，总部设在平安南道德川市。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">朝鲜人民军特种作战部队共计20万人，规模堪称全球最大。它负责统辖该国所有特战单位，司令是李逢春中将。该部队肩负五项基本任务：进行侦察、配合常规作战、在韩国后方建立第二战线、对抗朝鲜后方的韩美特种部队、维护内部安全。其中最重要的是第三项任务，一旦与韩国爆发战争，特种部队要在前线深处制造混乱。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">其作战部队包括4个轻步兵旅、7个空陆作战旅、3个侦察旅（又叫狙击旅）。轻步兵旅的任务是深入敌后，空陆作战旅执行空降与空中突击任务，只有侦察旅才是西方标准下的特种部队。换句话说，朝鲜特种部队规模之所以天下第一，是因为其定义特种部队的标准不同于世界主流，其多数成员只能算是精锐轻步兵。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">对于韩方的信息，美国智库战争研究所（ISW）回应称：“无法独立核实这些声明，但也没有理由质疑这些情报的真实性。”</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" style="letter-spacing: 0.034em; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; text-indent: 0em; text-align: center; display: inline;" src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/FpyOD6I6BwCNtIdyzp6KPnnd4N8R" /></section><section style="letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-wrap: wrap; text-align: center; margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><strong style="color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: 10.5pt; letter-spacing: normal; text-indent: 0em;"><span style="color: #68be8d; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.034em; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #68be8d;"><span style="text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #68be8d; letter-spacing: 0.034em; font-family: 宋体;">朝鲜出兵乌克兰疑云迭起</span></span></strong></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">对于朝鲜是否出兵援俄，最紧张的国家当数韩国和乌克兰。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">乌克兰总统泽连斯基在10月14日发出警告称，俄罗斯的秋冬计划包括“朝鲜实际参与战争”。10月16日，他向最高拉达（议会）提交了一份旨在结束战争的路线图，称为“胜利计划”。他告诉议员，鉴于俄伊朝三国正在与乌克兰交战，“这不再仅仅是武器转让的问题，实际上是将朝鲜的人员转移到占领军手中”。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">10月17日，泽连斯基携带“胜利计划”前往布鲁塞尔参加欧盟峰会。“我们知道朝鲜准备派遣 1 万名士兵来与我们作战。”他向在场人士疾呼，“这是世界大战的第一步。”</span></section><p style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/Fk3fs_OyJnfRzDVxq9Vhn8DecoZ6" /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;"><strong style="text-indent: 0em; text-wrap: wrap; text-align: left; caret-color: #222222; color: #222222; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: normal;"><span style="font-size: 12px; font-family: 宋体; color: #7dbb91; letter-spacing: 0.578px;"><strong style="border: 0px none currentcolor;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><span style="outline: 0px; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: center; visibility: visible;"><strong style="outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-family: 宋体; outline: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; visibility: visible;"><strong style="outline: 0px; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); letter-spacing: 0.034em; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-size: 12px; outline: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; visibility: visible;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: right; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; outline: 0px; text-align: left; visibility: visible; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 0em; width: 577.969px !important;">◆乌军截获的朝鲜多管火箭炮火箭弹（左）和 9M113 反坦克导弹。来源：韩国国情院</span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></strong></span></strong></span></p><section style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 24px;"></section><section style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 24px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">乌克兰外交部长安德烈·西比加亦提到朝鲜参战造成的局势紧迫性，强调这些人“不是雇佣兵，而是正规军”。他借机呼吁盟友扩大军事支持，例如解除对远程打击的限制、拦截乌克兰上空的俄罗斯导弹和无人机、增加对乌克兰武器制造的投资等。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">政客们的言论往往夸大其词，专业人士的意见更为谨慎，有乌军军官认为朝鲜军队可能只是帮助防守俄乌边境，以弥补俄军人手不足的长期困境。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">乌克兰反虚假信息中心负责人安德烈·科瓦连科（Andriy Kovalenko）对外透露，他听取了泽连斯基的报告，相信俄罗斯正在紧锣密鼓训练朝鲜军人。但他的话带有降温作用：“敌人的计划是利用朝鲜军队来增援俄罗斯边境地区的义务兵和边防部队。现在说他们会直接部署到乌克兰境内，还为时过早。”</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">更早的10月4日，有俄罗斯军事博主放消息，作为“经验交流”计划的一部分，朝鲜军人正在访问乌克兰前线，为的是了解俄军的防御和进攻战术。</span></section><p style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/FoVetU3a-RZUe3JpJL2tCMo3hftr" /></span></p><section style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 24px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;"><strong style="text-indent: 0em; text-wrap: wrap; text-align: left; caret-color: #222222; color: #222222; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: normal;"><span style="font-size: 12px; font-family: 宋体; color: #7dbb91; letter-spacing: 0.578px;"><strong style="border: 0px none currentcolor;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><span style="outline: 0px; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: center; visibility: visible;"><strong style="outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-family: 宋体; outline: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; visibility: visible;"><strong style="outline: 0px; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); letter-spacing: 0.034em; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-size: 12px; outline: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; visibility: visible;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: right; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; outline: 0px; text-align: left; visibility: visible; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 0em; width: 577.969px !important;">◆参加平壤阅兵的朝鲜特种部队方阵。</span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></strong></span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 24px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">科瓦连科亦在社交媒体上透露，乌东的顿涅茨克州有少量来自朝鲜的战斗工兵。他还说，乌军一直在监视朝鲜弹药的使用情况，俄军日益依赖这些弹药，但炮弹和导弹的质量均不佳。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">乌方10月4日透露，在俄军占领的乌克兰东部顿涅茨克附近，乌克兰导弹袭击造成6名朝鲜军官丧生，至少3名士兵受伤。据说他们当时正在参观俄军的演习。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">韩国国防部长金龙显10月8日在国会国防委员会国政监查期间表示：“俄罗斯和朝鲜签订了一个仅次于军事同盟的协议，因此派兵的可能性非常高。”针对朝鲜军官死于导弹袭击的传闻，他回应说：“综合考虑各种情况，我们评估朝鲜驻乌克兰官兵出现伤亡的可能性很大。”</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">10月11日，美国政府声称朝鲜在最近几周内向俄运送了超过1000个集装箱的武器弹药，并公布了相关卫星图。同一天，美国《华盛顿邮报》援引乌克兰情报部门的消息称，俄罗斯正在训练约3000名朝鲜步兵，准备在年底前投入战斗。</span></section><section style="letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-wrap: wrap; margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" style="font-size: var(--articleFontsize); letter-spacing: 0.034em; text-align: center; display: inline;" src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/FpnorwgkjFthMwPsDTdP7HdURGol" /></section><section style="letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-wrap: wrap; text-align: center; margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><strong style="color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: 10.5pt; letter-spacing: normal; text-indent: 0em;"><span style="color: #68be8d; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.034em; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #68be8d;"><span style="text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #68be8d; letter-spacing: 0.034em; font-family: 宋体;">朝俄军事合作不断加强</span></span></strong></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">过去一年来，朝鲜和俄罗斯的交往不断加深。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">去年7月，时任俄罗斯国防部长绍伊古前往朝鲜首都平壤，双方表示将“加强军事联系”；9月，金正恩访问了俄罗斯远东地区。这是他自新冠疫情发生以来首次出国访问，也是他成为朝鲜最高领导人以来时间最久的一次出访。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">会晤后双方未签署任何协议，但据佩斯科夫透露，这次访问内容“非常丰富”，金正恩参观了俄罗斯武装力量设施以及军工综合体和民用航空制造设施，在此行基础上，朝方自然会制定出所有感兴趣的合作建议，俄罗斯计划在所有可能的领域发展关系。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">双方会晤选择的地点以及俄方相关信息的发布传递出两国在航天和防务方面合作的可能性，也引发了美国的担忧。美国国务院发言人马修·米勒表示，俄朝在金正恩访问俄罗斯远东期间宣布的合作“非常令人不安，可能违反联合国安理会多项决议”。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">今年6月19日，俄罗斯总统普京回访朝鲜期间，双方签署了《俄朝全面战略伙伴关系条约》。其中第四条规定：“如果双方中的任何一方受到个别国家或多个国家的武力入侵而处于战争状态，另一方将根据联合国宪章第51条和朝鲜民主主义人民共和国及俄罗斯联邦的法律，以自己拥有的所有手段提供军事援助和其他援助。”</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"></section><p style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/Fpn9jHkJsaaq29BOxEbwl4mqf_1t" /></span></p><section style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 24px;"><span style="font-size: 12px; color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;"><strong style="text-indent: 0em; text-wrap: wrap; text-align: left; caret-color: #222222; color: #222222; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: normal;"><span style="font-size: 12px; font-family: 宋体; color: #7dbb91; letter-spacing: 0.578px;"><strong style="border: 0px none currentcolor;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-size: 12px; outline: 0px; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: center; visibility: visible;"><strong style="outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-size: 12px; font-family: 宋体; outline: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; visibility: visible;"><strong style="outline: 0px; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); letter-spacing: 0.034em; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-size: 12px; outline: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; visibility: visible;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: right; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12px; color: #7dbb91; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; outline: 0px; text-align: left; visibility: visible; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 0em; width: 577.969px !important;">◆今年6月，金正恩与普京在平壤签署《朝俄全面战略伙伴关系条约》</span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></strong></span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 24px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">而在10月14日，普京向俄国家杜马提交了关于批准《俄朝全面战略伙伴关系条约》的法律草案。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">一些人认为，乌克兰今年8月发动对库尔斯克的攻势，被俄罗斯视为国家受到武力入侵而处于战争状态，因此朝鲜可以对俄罗斯提供军事援助。但有分析认为，由于朝俄条约尚未在两国全部通过批准，两国无法实现以条约为依据的军事支援。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">条约签订时，朝鲜军方宣布，一支工兵部队将于下个月奔赴顿涅茨克州帮助俄军。但截至目前，尚无照片或视频能证明这一行动的发生。有消息显示，朝鲜军官和技术人员前往乌东地区，帮助俄军使用KN-23 短程弹道导弹系统。它射程450公里，可携带500公斤弹头。不过，乌克兰对其评价不佳，主因是故障率高，一半的导弹偏离预定弹道并在空中爆炸。</span></section><p style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" style="display: inline;" src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/FtmsmH0k65r174x50-OUfenKfY61" /></span></p><section style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 24px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;"><strong style="text-indent: 0em; text-wrap: wrap; text-align: left; caret-color: #222222; color: #222222; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: normal;"><span style="font-size: 12px; font-family: 宋体; color: #7dbb91; letter-spacing: 0.578px;"><strong style="border: 0px none currentcolor;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><span style="outline: 0px; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: center; visibility: visible;"><strong style="outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-family: 宋体; outline: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; visibility: visible;"><strong style="outline: 0px; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); letter-spacing: 0.034em; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-size: 12px; outline: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; visibility: visible;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: right; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; outline: 0px; text-align: left; visibility: visible; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 0em; width: 577.969px !important;">◆乌军发现的朝鲜KN-23短程弹道导弹残骸。</span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></strong></span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 24px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">7月初，朝中社报道称，朝鲜精英军事训练代表团已离开该国访问俄罗斯。据朝中社报道，率领代表团的是时任金日成军事综合大学校长金琴哲，这是俄朝两国领导人签署承诺更密切军事合作的协议以来两国之间的首次军事交流。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">到了8月初，韩国惊讶地发现，朝鲜军工界的重量级人物金正植多次前往俄乌前线查看KN-23导弹。他是一位导弹科学家，也是朝鲜导弹开发的核心人物，现为劳动党中央委员会军需工业部第一副部长。</span></section><p style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/Fh5IseMzGfyEDRSF4Quki70sasuB" /></span></p><section style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 24px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;"><strong style="text-indent: 0em; text-wrap: wrap; text-align: left; caret-color: #222222; color: #222222; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: normal;"><span style="font-size: 12px; font-family: 宋体; color: #7dbb91; letter-spacing: 0.578px;"><strong style="border: 0px none currentcolor;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><span style="outline: 0px; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: center; visibility: visible;"><strong style="outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-family: 宋体; outline: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; visibility: visible;"><strong style="outline: 0px; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); letter-spacing: 0.034em; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-size: 12px; outline: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; visibility: visible;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: right; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; outline: 0px; text-align: left; visibility: visible; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 0em; width: 577.969px !important;">◆金正植（左）与金正恩在一起，他是朝鲜导弹开发的核心人物。</span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></strong></span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 24px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">如果朝鲜出兵乌克兰，能获得什么利益？美国太平洋陆军司令查尔斯·弗林（Charles Flynn）上将分析称，俄乌战事为朝鲜提供了一个独特机会，可以“从真实战场获得反馈”，了解其装备性能和人员能力，从而做出调整。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">弗林的话戳中了韩国的伤口。韩国早就开始讨论，70年没参加过大规模战斗的朝鲜军队能从战地获得无人机用法等现代战争的经验，并将此用于对付韩国。无论是步兵、工兵、军械技术人员、工厂工人、建筑工人……都可以帮助俄罗斯解决人手不足问题。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">在韩方看来，朝鲜能赚到丰厚的外汇，以及换取比外汇更重要的先进军事技术。韩国军事专家们纷纷表示，俄罗斯估计已向朝鲜最渴求的领域送去技术援助，比如弹道导弹、巡航导弹、军事侦察卫星、核潜艇、地对空导弹等。</span></section><p style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/FhaPaFreJTcOJZeJ7BZDRoduyHpx" /></span></p><p style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;"><strong style="text-indent: 0em; text-wrap: wrap; text-align: left; caret-color: #222222; color: #222222; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: normal;"><span style="font-size: 12px; font-family: 宋体; color: #7dbb91; letter-spacing: 0.578px;"><strong style="border: 0px none currentcolor;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><span style="outline: 0px; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: center; visibility: visible;"><strong style="outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-family: 宋体; outline: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; visibility: visible;"><strong style="outline: 0px; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); letter-spacing: 0.034em; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-size: 12px; outline: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; visibility: visible;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: right; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; outline: 0px; text-align: left; visibility: visible; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 0em; width: 577.969px !important;">◆朝鲜KN-23短程弹道导弹。</span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></strong></span></strong></span></p><section style="letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-wrap: wrap; margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" style="letter-spacing: 0.578px; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 12pt; caret-color: transparent; text-align: center; display: inline;" src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/FuANKHwz5SPJnysExzzQFbD5HMVX" /></section><section style="text-align: center; margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><strong style="color: #000000; font-family: Calibri; font-size: 10.5pt; letter-spacing: normal; text-indent: 0em;"><span style="color: #68be8d; font-size: 17px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #68be8d;"><span style="text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #68be8d; letter-spacing: 0.578px; font-family: 宋体;">朝鲜被爆秘密供应弹药</span></span></strong></section><article style="word-break: break-word; overflow: hidden; hyphens: auto; color: #222222; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; line-height: 1.667; font-size: 18px; margin-bottom: 20px; letter-spacing: normal; text-wrap-mode: wrap; background-color: #ffffff;"><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">10月18日，韩国国情院公布了朝鲜对俄罗斯的物质援助。自2023年8月至今，朝鲜先后70多次向俄输送总计1.3万余个集装箱，内有炮弹、导弹、反坦克火箭等弹药。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">作为信息交叉比照，乌克兰国</span><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">防部情报总局盘点了战场上缴获的朝鲜产武器，有122毫米与152毫米榴弹炮炮弹、RPG反坦克火箭筒、火鸟-4反坦克导弹、KN-23短程弹道导弹……经分析，绝大多数朝鲜产武器良品率低、缺乏精密打击能力，但能够以数量攻势达到维持战线的目的。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">由于俄乌双方都无法取得空中优势，进攻和防守均依赖于榴弹炮，且都在长期高强度炮战中饱受弹药短缺之苦，从而引发一场生产和购买炮弹的竞赛。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">2022年和2023年上半年，西方向乌克兰提供的炮弹多于俄罗斯从合作伙伴手里获得的。进入 2024 年 1 月，形势发生逆转，俄罗斯的炮弹数量轻松压倒乌克兰。于是，乌军在战场上处处陷入劣势。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">火力天平之所以发生倾斜，乌方认为，首要原因是朝鲜从 2023 年秋季开始向俄罗斯供应弹药。乌国防部情报总局的瓦迪姆·斯基比茨基（Vadym Skibitskyi）少将在今年年初发布声明称，过去一年间，朝鲜向俄罗斯提供了约100万发弹药，主要是122 毫米、152 毫米榴弹炮炮弹，而俄对于两款炮弹的年产量是200万发。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">据路透社报道，联合国制裁监督员曾告诉联合国安理会，今年1月2日落在乌克兰哈尔科夫的一枚导弹的碎片被确认为来自朝鲜的火星-11系列弹道导弹。</span></section><p style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 0px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/FjLQfsQ2yp8a3h78A36NFSlW4F06" /><strong style="text-indent: 0em; text-wrap-style: initial; text-align: left; caret-color: #222222;"><span style="font-size: 12px; font-family: 宋体; color: #7dbb91; letter-spacing: 0.578px;"><strong style="border: 0px none currentcolor;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><span style="outline: 0px; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: center; visibility: visible;"><strong style="outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-family: 宋体; outline: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; visibility: visible;"><strong style="outline: 0px; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); letter-spacing: 0.034em; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-size: 12px; outline: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; visibility: visible;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: right;"><span style="font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; outline: 0px; text-align: left; visibility: visible; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 0em; width: 577.969px !important;">◆今年1月，袭击乌克兰哈尔科夫的一枚据信由朝鲜制造的导弹的残骸。</span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></strong></span></strong></p></article><section style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 24px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">处于高度备战中的朝鲜是常规武器的生产大国，多年来积累了大量苏式军火库存。</span><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">美国曾指责，朝鲜向瓦格纳雇佣兵集团供应过炮弹。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">最早捅出朝鲜对俄供应弹药消息的是英国皇家联合军种国防研究所（RUSI）。该机构在2023年10月16日发布报告，并附上了清晰的卫星图片。不过，这份报告的用词是“疑似朝鲜武器”。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">“近几个月拍摄的数十张高分辨率卫星图像显示，俄罗斯已经开始大规模从朝鲜获取弹药，并开辟了一条新的补给路线，这可能对乌克兰战争和东亚国际安全态势产生深远影响。”报告写道。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">报告指出，2023 年 8 月中旬至 10 月中旬，悬挂俄罗斯国旗的“安加拉”号、“玛丽亚”号、“R女士”号货船至少5次往返于俄罗斯杜奈港和朝鲜罗津港，运输了数百个集装箱。卸载集装箱的码头通有铁路，集装箱可直接装上火车。</span></section><p style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 0px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/FkRebwPA-gvZg_Ng-MyThY-EaHGI" /></p><p style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 0px;"><strong style="text-indent: 0em; text-wrap: wrap; text-align: left; caret-color: #222222; color: #222222; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: normal;"><span style="font-size: 12px; font-family: 宋体; color: #7dbb91; letter-spacing: 0.578px;"><strong style="border: 0px none currentcolor;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><span style="outline: 0px; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: center; visibility: visible;"><strong style="outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-family: 宋体; outline: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; visibility: visible;"><strong style="outline: 0px; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); letter-spacing: 0.034em; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-size: 12px; outline: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; visibility: visible;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: right; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; outline: 0px; text-align: left; visibility: visible; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 0em; width: 577.969px !important;">◆俄罗斯杜奈港，视频截图显示来自朝鲜的集装箱被装上火车。</span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></strong></span></strong></p><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">这些船只隶属于跟军方关系密切的航运公司，曾多次向叙利亚运送军事物资。报告指出，船只关闭了搜救AIS应答器（AIS-SART）。这是用于救生艇（筏）的应急通信设备，也可以取代船舶上的搜救雷达应答器。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">杜奈是个偏僻港口，冷战期间曾设有潜艇基地。往北9公里，是管辖这座港口小镇的福基诺市（Fokino）。2012年APEC峰会在俄罗斯远东最大城市、最大港口海参崴举行。随后，俄罗斯宣布将太平洋舰队总部从海参崴搬至福基诺。福基诺早在苏联时期就是舰队基地，一直十分封闭，禁止外国人进入。</span></section><p style="margin: 20px 16px 0px; color: #222222; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: normal; text-wrap-mode: wrap; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 1.75em; border: 0px initial initial;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/FllWhQNH3hcVMZy86h-BZnmoXe25" /></p><section style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 24px;"><span style="font-size: 12px; color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;"><strong style="text-indent: 0em; text-wrap: wrap; text-align: left; caret-color: #222222; color: #222222; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 18px; letter-spacing: normal;"><span style="font-size: 12px; font-family: 宋体; color: #7dbb91; letter-spacing: 0.578px;"><strong style="border: 0px none currentcolor;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-size: 12px; outline: 0px; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: center; visibility: visible;"><strong style="outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-size: 12px; font-family: 宋体; outline: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; visibility: visible;"><strong style="outline: 0px; font-size: var(--articleFontsize); letter-spacing: 0.034em; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-size: 12px; outline: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; visibility: visible;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-align: right; background-color: #ffffff;"><span style="font-size: 12px; color: #7dbb91; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; outline: 0px; text-align: left; visibility: visible; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 0em; width: 577.969px !important;"><span style="outline: 0px; font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: center; visibility: visible;"><span style="font-family: PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei, WenQuanYi Micro Hei, Helvetica Neue, Arial, sans-serif; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #7dbb91; outline: 0px; text-align: left; visibility: visible; letter-spacing: 0.544px; text-indent: 0em; width: 577.969px !important;">◆俄罗斯杜奈港，冷战期间曾设有潜艇基地。</span></span></span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></span></strong></strong></span></strong></span></section><section style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 24px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">美国政府最近披露，朝鲜已经提供了超过1000个集装箱的武器弹药。</span><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">美方还公布了弹药的最终目的地——俄罗斯克拉斯诺达尔地区的小镇季霍列茨克（Tikhoretsk）。</span><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">从去年8月开始，这里的弹药库迅速扩张。</span><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">火车送到此地的集装箱的大小和颜色与朝鲜运往杜奈港的相同。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-indent: 0em;">只不过，无论是武器运输还是两军合作，俄方均予以否认。10月15日，佩斯科夫被问及互助条款是否意味着俄罗斯和朝鲜或将分别被卷入乌克兰战争或朝鲜半岛冲突，佩斯科夫没有直接回答，而是说条约措辞“非常明确”，不需要澄清。他说，该协议“意味着在所有领域，包括安全领域，进行真正战略性的深度合作”。</span></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;">来源： 凤凰WEEKLY国际</section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><section style="display: none; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px;"></section></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><section style="display: none; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px;"></section></section><section style="margin-bottom: 24px; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><section style="display: none; line-height: 1.75em;"></section></section><section style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; line-height: 1.75em;"><section style="display: none; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px;"></section></section><p style="display: none;"> </p> <!----></div> 可以的 厉害吧 可以的，地球爸爸越来越喜欢你们了，你们使劲搞，等的你们最开心的时候给你一个冰河周期 强烈谴责，强烈谴责，强烈谴责 三胖老家都保不住了还对外派兵？ 吃饱没求事干 不清楚 邪恶与正义的终极较量开始了
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