预测2025年八大趋势，DeepSeek的回答很惊艳
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background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 1.5em; visibility: visible;"><section style="margin-bottom: 0em; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; line-height: 27.2px; min-height: 0px; background-image: none; background-clip: border-box; background-position: 0% 0%; background-repeat: repeat; background-size: auto; bottom: auto; float: none; height: auto; left: auto; max-height: none; min-width: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #333333; top: auto; z-index: auto; visibility: visible; clear: none; border: 0px none #333333;"><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"><section style="margin-right: 16px; margin-left: 16px; clear: none; min-height: 0px; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; text-align: justify; visibility: visible; background-image: none; background-clip: border-box; background-position: 0% 0%; background-repeat: repeat; background-size: auto; bottom: auto; float: none; height: auto; left: auto; max-height: none; min-width: 0px; text-decoration-style: solid; text-decoration-color: #333333; top: auto; z-index: auto; line-height: 1.5em; margin-bottom: 0px; border: 0px none #333333;"><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.544px; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; caret-color: #a0a0a0; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14px; color: #a0a0a0;"><em style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px;">“</em></strong><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.544px; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; caret-color: #a0a0a0; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14px; color: #a0a0a0;"><em style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px;">DeepSeek出现并爆火的意义是，它让一个普通人使用AI的门槛快速降低。</em></strong><strong style="letter-spacing: 0.544px; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; caret-color: #a0a0a0; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 14px; color: #a0a0a0;"><em style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px;">”</em></strong></section><section style="margin-right: 16px; margin-left: 16px; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.544px; caret-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0.9); line-height: 1.6em; visibility: visible; margin-bottom: 0px;"></section></section></section></section></section></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 1em; margin-left: 1em; letter-spacing: 0.578px; text-wrap: wrap; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; background-color: #ffffff; line-height: 1.75em; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">自登顶全球应用商店下载榜，一夜抹掉美股万亿市值，中国大模型公司DeepSeek突然陷入了巨大的漩涡：先是遭美国IP的网络攻击、意大利等国的限制，后又被OpenAI和Anthropic指控抄袭，称其“蒸馏”了他们的模型。</span><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;">美国总统特朗普表示：“DeepSeek给美国相关产业敲响了警钟。”</span></section><section style="line-height: 2em;"><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">但另一边，仍然逃不过“真香定律”：微软的AI平台接入了DeepSeek的模型，英伟达NIM平台则正式上线DeepSeek R1。在民间，DeepSeek更是被中外网友玩出了花样。尤其是春节期间，一些和过年相关的问题和新闻热点都喂给了DeepSeek：</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">“帮忙编几句给长辈的蛇年祝福语吧！”“过年回家用怎样的话术来应对亲戚催婚催娃？”“为什么年味变淡了？”“谁将会是春节档电影票房冠军？”</span></p><p style="text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img js_insertlocalimg" style="height: auto !important;" src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/Fu84iZxdm8XQj-uzWF9OhEHV6eIZ" /></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">由于是推理型大模型，DeepSeek不需要背诵提示词模板、学习特定的指令、研究各类参数，只需要像和朋友唠嗑一样说出你的痛点、场景、需求即可。比如你想让DeepSeek给出一些投资建议，可以这么说：</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">“Hello，我是一位中国的普通投资者，风险测评是平衡型。现状中国利率持续下行，我很担心我的资产贬值、购买力下降，所以希望我的产品能够实现稳定的现金流收入、保值增值。目前我手中有100万元闲钱，该如何建议？你要说人话哦，让我这个投资小白能听得懂。”</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; line-height: 2em; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">DeepSeek出现并爆火的意义是，它</span><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;">干掉了GPT-3诞生以来最反人类的设定——让人类学习机器人的语言。它<span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;">让一个普通人使用AI的门槛迅速降低。</span></span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; line-height: 2em; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="font-family: 宋体; color: #000000; font-size: 15px;">那么，作为一直在财经领域工作的小巴，整天在和数据打交道，以观察宏观经济和财富的动向。今天我们抛出8个跟财富相关的预测，涉及房价、股市、职业、城市、行业等，来看看DeepSeek是如何回答的。</span></p><section style="padding-right: 1px; padding-left: 1px; font-size: 16px; color: #3e3e3e; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><section style="text-align: left; justify-content: flex-start; display: flex; flex-flow: row; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;"><section style="display: inline-block; vertical-align: top; width: auto; min-width: 5%; flex: 0 0 auto; height: auto; align-self: stretch;"><section style="display: flex; width: 100%; flex-flow: column;"><section style="z-index: 1;"><section style="font-size: 19px; margin-right: 0%; margin-left: 0%; text-align: center;"><section style="display: inline-block; background-color: #007aaa; width: 1.8em; height: 1.8em; line-height: 1.8em; border-radius: 100%; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; font-size: 20px; color: #ffffff; border: 1px solid #007aaa;"><p><strong>1</strong></p></section></section></section></section></section><section style="display: inline-block; vertical-align: top; width: auto; align-self: stretch; flex: 100 100 0%; height: auto; background-color: rgba(204, 241, 255, 0.42); margin-left: -17px; padding-left: 29px;"><section style="margin-top: 6px;"><section style="text-align: justify; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 1.5;"><p style="white-space: normal;"><strong><span style="font-size: 16px;">2025年的房价怎么走？</span></strong></p></section></section></section></section></section><section style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"> </span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; line-height: 2em; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">楼市的复苏直接和中国经济复苏挂钩。结合2024年楼市各项数据，我们先问了DeepSeek如何看待2025年房价走势，回答还是挺惊艳的。</span></section><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">DeepSeek的分析框架基本遵循“长期看人口、中期看土地、短期看政策”。当然，购房本身也和居民购买力和开发商的销售策略有关。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; caret-color: #000000; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;">◎ </strong>经济基本面：居民收入预期将逐步修复，但高储蓄率仍反映消费信心不足，购房能力增长有限。地方财政压力可能推动土地供应结构性调整，核心城市优质地块价格或保持坚挺，但三四线城市土地市场趋冷。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; caret-color: #000000; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;">◎ </strong></span><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">政策调控：</span><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">一方面，2024年多地已放松限购、降低首付比例，2025年“两会”后或有新一轮政策宽松，可密切关注。</span><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">另一方面，随着保障性住房政策的推进，会分流部分刚需，对商品房价格形成压制。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; caret-color: #000000; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;">◎ </strong>人口：城镇化率接近70%后增速放缓，人口持续向长三角、珠三角等城市群集中，中小城市需求萎缩。婚育率低迷导致首套房需求减少，改善型住房成为一线城市交易主力。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; caret-color: #000000; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;">◎ </strong>库存与开发商策略：三四线城市广义库存去化周期超30个月，房企“以价换量”压力大；一线城市库存相对健康。头部房企聚焦核心城市核心地段，郊区楼盘价格或继续回调。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">总之，DeepSeek的分析和我们的判断基本一致：总体回暖，分化加剧，改善崛起。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">DeepSeek还总结了一张房价走势表，或有一定的参考意义。</span></p><p style="text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img js_insertlocalimg" style="height: auto !important;" src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/FpJzz2GUhfN3LWBVlKox257nKgLn" /></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">对于2025年的购房建议，DeepSeek对刚需群体、改善型群体和投资者按照城市等级进行分类分析：</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #007aaa;"><strong><span style="font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">1.刚需自住群体。</span></strong></span><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;">一线和强二线城市：政策宽松叠加房企年中促销，2025年上半年或是购房窗口期，可优先选择地铁沿线等抗跌板块。三四线城市：若非急迫需求，建议暂缓购房；若必须购买，优先现房或国企开发商项目，避免烂尾风险。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #007aaa;"><strong><span style="color: #007aaa; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">2.改善型群体。</span></strong></span><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;">一线城市“卖旧买新”需加快置换节奏，政策可能对多套房交易税费进行优化。建议关注主城区品质次新房，避开老旧小区，主要原因是旧改推进缓慢，流动性下降。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #007aaa;"><strong><span style="color: #007aaa; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">3.投资者。</span></strong></span><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; -webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent;">一线城市的租金回报率普遍低于2%，短期套利空间有限。但是，核心城市高端住宅（如上海前滩、深圳南山）仍具保值属性。</span></p><section style="padding-right: 1px; padding-left: 1px; font-size: 16px; color: #3e3e3e; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><section style="text-align: left; justify-content: flex-start; display: flex; flex-flow: row; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;"><section style="display: inline-block; vertical-align: top; width: auto; min-width: 5%; flex: 0 0 auto; height: auto; align-self: stretch;"><section style="display: flex; width: 100%; flex-flow: column;"><section style="z-index: 1;"><section style="font-size: 19px; margin-right: 0%; margin-left: 0%; text-align: center;"><section style="display: inline-block; background-color: #007aaa; width: 1.8em; height: 1.8em; line-height: 1.8em; border-radius: 100%; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; font-size: 20px; color: #ffffff; border: 1px solid #007aaa;"><p><strong>2</strong></p></section></section></section></section></section><section style="display: inline-block; vertical-align: top; width: auto; align-self: stretch; flex: 100 100 0%; height: auto; background-color: rgba(204, 241, 255, 0.42); margin-left: -17px; padding-left: 29px;"><section style="margin-top: 6px;"><section style="text-align: justify; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 1.5;"><p style="white-space: normal;"><strong>开年股市怎么玩？</strong></p></section></section></section></section></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; line-height: 2em; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px;"></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; line-height: 2em; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">A股市场作为去年第四季度最大的财富增长亮点，我们都在关心开年后股市的走势。小巴问了DeepSeek，它给出了短期和长期判断，不是直接给数据，而是有结构化的思考过程。</span></section><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">首先是节后一周的涨跌预测。DeepSeek根据过去10年的数据发现，上涨概率大概在70%，这可能与节前避险资金回流、市场情绪修复有关。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">它分析：如果春节期间消费数据如旅游、电影票房、零售等超预期，可能提振消费板块，如白酒、旅游、影视。而1月份的PMI、社融数据等能反映经济复苏，可能推动市场整体情绪。</span></p><p style="text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img js_insertlocalimg" style="height: auto !important;" src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/FpwxfhQNPIIZAkkIUki6X4dWxg4p" /></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">接着，DeepSeek分析了2025年A股走势的核心驱动因素，从基本面、政策、国际环境和资金面这四个方面切入，逻辑链路媲美券商分析师。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">首先是内部经济的复苏力度。中国经济如果出现消费主导、高端制造崛起，GDP增速稳定在4%—5%区间，企业盈利改善将支撑股市。房地产风险化解是2025经济复苏的重要因素，如果房企债务问题逐步出清，地产相关行业如建材、家电可能迎来估值修复。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">再来看外部环境。特朗普上台后全球不确定性加剧，若2025年美联储进入降息周期，外资回流A股的力度可能加大。中美科技竞争、全球供应链重构可能影响出口依赖型行业。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">而国内的政策支持和制度改革也将对A股走势产生重要影响。中央继续加大财政刺激或降息降准，流动性宽松可能推升市场估值。而围绕“新质生产力”的政策落地可能催生结构性行情。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">在资本市场方面，退市制度完善和上市公司质量提升可能增强A股长期吸引力。同时，养老金、保险资金等增量资金若持续流入，可能推升市场中枢。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">继续追问DeepSeek“预测2025年的上证指数”，它按照上述几项核心驱动因素的组合，得出以下推论：</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; caret-color: #000000; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;">◎ </strong>乐观的概率是20%：GDP增速5%以上+美联储大幅降息+政策强刺激，上证指数预测在4000—4500点。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; caret-color: #000000; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;">◎ </strong>中性的概率是50%：GDP增速4%—5%+ 政策托底但无明显强刺激，上证指数预测在3200—3800点。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; caret-color: #000000; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;">◎ </strong></span><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">悲观的是概率30%：GDP增速低于4%+ 地缘冲突升级，上证指数预测在2500—3000点。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">DeepSeek最后还推荐了2025年潜力板块。它给出了三大驱动逻辑，分别是中美科技博弈长期化、能源转型碳中和、居民收入预期改善。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"></span></strong>科技自主可控：半导体设备与材料（国产替代加速）、人工智能（AI芯片、大模型应用场景落地）、量子计算（政策支持下的前沿技术突破）。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"></span></strong>高端制造与碳中和：新能源车（智能化、电池技术迭代）、光伏/储能（海外需求回暖、成本下降）、工业母机/机器人（政策补贴推动渗透率提升）。</span></p><p style="text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" style="height: auto !important;" src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/FtQS1fDFGEbuwzNtOBBme0uGgVDw" /></p><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"></span></strong>消费复苏与升级：医疗健康（老龄化加速下的创新药、医疗器械）、国货品牌（化妆品、潮玩等Z世代消费）、智能家居（AIoT技术赋能场景化需求）。</span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"> </span></section><section style="padding-right: 1px; padding-left: 1px; font-size: 16px; color: #3e3e3e; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px;"><section style="text-align: left; justify-content: flex-start; display: flex; flex-flow: row; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;"><section style="display: inline-block; vertical-align: top; width: auto; min-width: 5%; flex: 0 0 auto; height: auto; align-self: stretch;"><section style="display: flex; width: 100%; flex-flow: column;"><section style="z-index: 1;"><section style="font-size: 19px; margin-right: 0%; margin-left: 0%; text-align: center;"><section style="display: inline-block; background-color: #007aaa; width: 1.8em; height: 1.8em; line-height: 1.8em; border-radius: 100%; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; font-size: 20px; color: #ffffff; border: 1px solid #007aaa;"><p><strong>3</strong></p></section></section></section></section></section><section style="display: inline-block; vertical-align: top; width: auto; align-self: stretch; flex: 100 100 0%; height: auto; background-color: rgba(204, 241, 255, 0.42); margin-left: -17px; padding-left: 29px;"><section style="margin-top: 6px;"><section style="text-align: justify; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 1.5;"><p style="white-space: normal;"><strong>黄金价格创新高，还可以买吗？</strong></p></section></section></section></section></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"> </span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">1月30日，国际金价一度突破2800美元/盎司，创下历史新高。整个2024年，国际金价涨幅27%。2025年伊始，金价延续了去年的火热。作为普通人，应该在2025年投资黄金吗？DeepSeek这一次给出的回答较为中立。</span></section><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">首先，它还是分析影响金价的核心因素，基本和市面上分析师的框架类似，主要有四点：避险需求、抗通胀属性、美元指数与美联储利率降低、各国央行购金。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">接着和预测股市类似，DeepSeek通过分类讨论，预测金价乐观、中性和悲观的概率。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; caret-color: #000000; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;">◎ </strong>乐观的概率是20%—30%：美联储进入降息通道，美元大幅贬值；全球地缘冲突升级；央行购金量维持高位，叠加个人投资者涌入，金价将达到2500—3000美元/盎司。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; caret-color: #000000; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;">◎ </strong>中性的概率是50%—60%：美联储温和降息，利率维持在3%—4%，美元震荡走弱。全球经济“软着陆”，通胀稳定在2%—3%，避险需求边际减弱，金价将达到2000—2300美元/盎司。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; caret-color: #000000; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;">◎ </strong>悲观的概率是10%-20%：美国经济重回高增长+高利率，美联储加息抗通胀；地缘风险消退，如俄乌停火、中美关系缓和；比特币等数字货币表现强劲，分流资金，金价将达到1600—1900美元/盎司。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">至于金价预测数据的准确性，小巴继续追问DeepSeek是否能根据网上最新数据给出具体预测数据，DeepSeek回答暂时没办法做到。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">但抛开数据，DeepSeek的思考方式倒适用于普通人分析各类行业问题：先是分析驱动该行业的各类变量，然后对变量进行分类组合讨论。</span></p><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">落到黄金投资，DeepSeek认为从短期来看，当前金价处于历史高位，追高风险较大，建议等待回调或分批建仓；长期来看，若全球货币体系动荡或滞胀风险上升，黄金仍是核心配置资产。</span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">DeepSeek最后还给了我们风险提示：黄金不产生利息，长期持有需权衡机会成本，如将投资黄金的钱投入回报可能更高的股市。因此它建议黄金的配置比例不超过总资产的10%—15%。</span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"> </span></section><section style="padding-right: 1px; padding-left: 1px; font-size: 16px; color: #3e3e3e; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px;"><section style="text-align: left; justify-content: flex-start; display: flex; flex-flow: row; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;"><section style="display: inline-block; vertical-align: top; width: auto; min-width: 5%; flex: 0 0 auto; height: auto; align-self: stretch;"><section style="display: flex; width: 100%; flex-flow: column;"><section style="z-index: 1;"><section style="font-size: 19px; margin-right: 0%; margin-left: 0%; text-align: center;"><section style="display: inline-block; background-color: #007aaa; width: 1.8em; height: 1.8em; line-height: 1.8em; border-radius: 100%; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; font-size: 20px; color: #ffffff; border: 1px solid #007aaa;"><p><strong>4</strong></p></section></section></section></section></section><section style="display: inline-block; vertical-align: top; width: auto; align-self: stretch; flex: 100 100 0%; height: auto; background-color: rgba(204, 241, 255, 0.42); margin-left: -17px; padding-left: 29px;"><section style="margin-top: 6px;"><section style="text-align: justify; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 1.5;"><p style="white-space: normal;"><strong>哪个职业最热门？</strong></p></section></section></section></section></section><section style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"> </span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">如果你想2025年在换个工作，哪些职业和岗位最为热门、稀缺，能让你未来5年的工资性收入有明显增长？DeepSeek给出了一些建议。</span></section><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">DeepSeek的推荐基本集中在热门行业，如科技（AI、数据科学、云计算）、绿色经济（新能源、碳管理）、医疗健康（生物医药、健康管理）、高端制造（智能制造、芯片设计）。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img js_insertlocalimg" style="letter-spacing: 0.578px; white-space: normal; height: auto !important;" src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/FlS7b2m1fPw7_0d18q2Jc28gIuK7" /></span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">这些行业中的一些岗位工资涨幅将在8%到15%，具体到人工智能工程师、云计算架构师、网络安全专家、碳管理咨询师、元宇宙内容设计师、区块链开发工程师，职业教育培训师、绿色金融分析师、数字营销专家、健康管理师、生物医药研发工程师等。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">不过，这些职业的学历和专业技术门槛过高，于是小巴希望DeepSeek给几个门槛较低的职业。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">DeepSeek给出了三个思考方向：</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"></span></strong>第一，优先政策红利行业。新能源、大健康、数字经济受国家长期补贴，岗位稳定性高。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"></span></strong>第二，技能叠加。数据分析+行业知识，如医疗数据分析薪资溢价明显。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"></span></strong>第三，避开纯体力替代岗位。像物流分拣、基础客服等容易被机器人和AI替代。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; caret-color: #000000; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;">◎ </strong>数字技术相关：数据分析师/商业智能（BI）分析师、低代码/无代码开发工程师。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; caret-color: #000000; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;">◎ </strong>绿色经济领域：新能源设备运维员（光伏/储能）、碳排放管理员。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; caret-color: #000000; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;">◎ </strong>大健康产业：健康管理师/营养顾问、康复辅助器具适配师。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; caret-color: #000000; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;">◎ </strong>新兴服务业：无人机飞手/巡检员、宠物医疗护理师。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; caret-color: #000000; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;">◎ </strong>制造业升级方向：工业机器人操作员。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; line-height: 2em; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">总之未来5年，技术+服务复合型岗位将成主流，选择门槛适中且不易被自动化的领域。</span></p><section style="padding-right: 1px; padding-left: 1px; font-size: 16px; color: #3e3e3e; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><section style="text-align: left; justify-content: flex-start; display: flex; flex-flow: row; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;"><section style="display: inline-block; vertical-align: top; width: auto; min-width: 5%; flex: 0 0 auto; height: auto; align-self: stretch;"><section style="display: flex; width: 100%; flex-flow: column;"><section style="z-index: 1;"><section style="font-size: 19px; margin-right: 0%; margin-left: 0%; text-align: center;"><section style="display: inline-block; background-color: #007aaa; width: 1.8em; height: 1.8em; line-height: 1.8em; border-radius: 100%; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; font-size: 20px; color: #ffffff; border: 1px solid #007aaa;"><p><strong>5</strong></p></section></section></section></section></section><section style="display: inline-block; vertical-align: top; width: auto; align-self: stretch; flex: 100 100 0%; height: auto; background-color: rgba(204, 241, 255, 0.42); margin-left: -17px; padding-left: 29px;"><section style="margin-top: 6px;"><section style="text-align: justify; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 1.5;"><p style="white-space: normal;"><strong>潜力产业谁最强？</strong></p></section></section></section></section></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; line-height: 2em; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px;"></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; line-height: 2em; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">2025年如果要创业，应该选择什么行业比较有前途？</span></section><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">DeepSeek希望创业者抓住底层变革红利，先列举了一些技术驱动型产业，比如人工智能技术在各行各业的应用会越来越广泛，特别是生成式AI的发展，可能在内容创作、自动化等方面出现机会。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">它认为，新能源和环保领域也是政策支持的重点，随着碳中和目标的推进，相关产业可能有补贴和市场机会。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">它强调，元宇宙和虚拟现实技术虽然现在还在发展初期，但到2025年可能基础设施更完善，应用场景更多，比如虚拟社交、教育、娱乐等。不过风险也大，需要看技术成熟度。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">不过这些行业的技术门槛过高，小巴希望DeepSeek提供一些更适合普通人的创业方案。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">于是，DeepSeek给出了两个新思路。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">一是解决结构性痛点、为新消费需求服务的行业，比如说为日益增长的老年人提供居家养老、老年社交和医疗服务，又比如说为年轻人提供带有情绪价值和体验感的新产品，还有为宠物提供的医疗、保险和殡葬服务。</span></p><p style="text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img js_insertlocalimg" style="height: auto !important;" src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/FvNMYYMclUUMBZICiYNIJ9uNF30u" /></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">二是为有出海需求的中国企业提供各类服务，比如跨境数据安全、ESG认证咨询、东南亚直播电商代运营、数字货币结算、国产工业软件等。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; line-height: 2em; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">总之，2025年创业应聚焦 “技术迭代+需求升级+全球化缺口” 三角区，优先考虑AI垂直应用、银发经济解决方案、出海服务及新能源创新，关键是以小切口解决真实痛点，避免盲目追逐风口。</span></p><section style="padding-right: 1px; padding-left: 1px; font-size: 16px; color: #3e3e3e; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><section style="text-align: left; justify-content: flex-start; display: flex; flex-flow: row; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;"><section style="display: inline-block; vertical-align: top; width: auto; min-width: 5%; flex: 0 0 auto; height: auto; align-self: stretch;"><section style="display: flex; width: 100%; flex-flow: column;"><section style="z-index: 1;"><section style="font-size: 19px; margin-right: 0%; margin-left: 0%; text-align: center;"><section style="display: inline-block; background-color: #007aaa; width: 1.8em; height: 1.8em; line-height: 1.8em; border-radius: 100%; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; font-size: 20px; color: #ffffff; border: 1px solid #007aaa;"><p><strong>6</strong></p></section></section></section></section></section><section style="display: inline-block; vertical-align: top; width: auto; align-self: stretch; flex: 100 100 0%; height: auto; background-color: rgba(204, 241, 255, 0.42); margin-left: -17px; padding-left: 29px;"><section style="margin-top: 6px;"><section style="text-align: justify; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 1.5;"><p style="white-space: normal;"><strong>下一个网红城市在哪里？</strong></p></section></section></section></section></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; line-height: 2em; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">2025年会不会产生像淄博、天水、哈尔滨、阿勒泰这样的网红城市？</span></section><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">在预测2025年之前，DeepSeek先分析了淄博、天水、哈尔滨、阿勒泰的网络关注度突然暴涨的原因，试图从中找到网红城市的共性。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">DeepSeek发现，近年来网红城市的爆发，本质上是 “社交媒体传播+地方特色挖掘+政策借势” 的共振结果：</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; caret-color: #000000; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;">◎ </strong>淄博烧烤：通过“大学生报恩式打卡”的温情叙事，结合高性价比的消费模式，在短视频平台裂变传播。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; caret-color: #000000; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;">◎ </strong>哈尔滨冰雪旅游：依托独特的冰雪资源，借力“南方小土豆”等网络梗，强化南北文化反差体验。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; caret-color: #000000; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;">◎ </strong>阿勒泰：因《我的阿勒泰》影视作品的热播，将小众边疆风光推向大众视野。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; caret-color: #000000; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;">◎ </strong>天水麻辣烫：以地方美食为切入点，通过“文旅部门快速响应+社媒二次创作”实现破圈。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">这些案例的共同点在于：将城市某一特质（美食、景观、文化）符号化，并通过社交媒体完成“情感连接”，最终转化为流量经济。</span></p><p style="text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img" style="height: auto !important;" src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/FhLD3z-x96q9zAWen9Dh3ul30afh" /></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">基于这一思路，DeepSeek提出2025年，有三类城市可能会爆红。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; caret-color: #000000; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;">◎ </strong>一是未被过度商业化的小众目的地，如拥有众多咖啡庄园的云南保山市。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; caret-color: #000000; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;">◎ </strong>二是政策引导下的产业融合城市，新能源产业城市（如鄂尔多斯市）、传统工艺振兴地（如江苏宜兴）和乡村振兴示范区（如浙江安吉）可能通过“产业+文旅”模式出圈。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; caret-color: #000000; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;">◎ </strong>三是突发事件或流行文化催生的“偶然爆红”。比如某部电影取景地因电影爆红，如《封神》带火费翔老家烟台。国际热点事件也能为城市带来关注，如被跨境游带火的黑河市。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; line-height: 2em; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">最后，DeepSeek给出结论：2025年必然会有新的网红城市诞生，但其爆发逻辑可能从单一“美食/景观驱动”转向更复杂的 “文化叙事+体验创新+数字技术融合” 模式，比如元宇宙文旅试验城市。</span></p><section style="padding-right: 1px; padding-left: 1px; font-size: 16px; color: #3e3e3e; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><section style="text-align: left; justify-content: flex-start; display: flex; flex-flow: row; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;"><section style="display: inline-block; vertical-align: top; width: auto; min-width: 5%; flex: 0 0 auto; height: auto; align-self: stretch;"><section style="display: flex; width: 100%; flex-flow: column;"><section style="z-index: 1;"><section style="font-size: 19px; margin-right: 0%; margin-left: 0%; text-align: center;"><section style="display: inline-block; background-color: #007aaa; width: 1.8em; height: 1.8em; line-height: 1.8em; border-radius: 100%; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; font-size: 20px; color: #ffffff; border: 1px solid #007aaa;"><p><strong>7</strong></p></section></section></section></section></section><section style="display: inline-block; vertical-align: top; width: auto; align-self: stretch; flex: 100 100 0%; height: auto; background-color: rgba(204, 241, 255, 0.42); margin-left: -17px; padding-left: 29px;"><section style="margin-top: 6px;"><section style="text-align: justify; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 1.5;"><p style="white-space: normal;"><strong>汽车价格战快结束了吗？</strong></p></section></section></section></section></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; line-height: 2em; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"> </span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; line-height: 2em; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">2025年，中国汽车市场的价格战会不会结束？</span></section><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">作为一个严谨认真的AI工具，DeepSeek并未直接回答“会”或者“不会”，而是先分析了价格战可能会延续的三大底层逻辑：产能过剩仍未根治，技术平权削弱溢价空间，消费需求结构性疲软。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">紧接着，DeepSeek又指出了2025年中国汽车市场很可能出现的三大变量：一是市场集中度突破临界点；二是技术代差重新拉开；三是海外市场分流产能。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">基于三大逻辑和三大变量，DeepSeek得出了结论：2025年中国汽车市场的显性价格战（官方指导价大幅下调、现金直降）将基本消退，但竞争将转向三个新维度。</span></p><p style="text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px;"><img class="rich_pages wxw-img js_insertlocalimg" style="height: auto !important;" src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/FldHzuqqGg4Dnjd-q2jJkhU0SbMK" /></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"></span></strong>第一个新维度是隐性降本竞争，通过技术革新的手段变相降价。例如CTC电池底盘一体化、全域800V架构技术，分别能降本15%和8%。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"></span></strong>第二个新维度是生态价值战，各大车企以“车机系统+充电网络+数据服务”捆绑定价，实现软硬件交叉补贴。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; font-family: system-ui, -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; visibility: visible;"></span></strong>第三个新维度是全球化定价权竞争，中国车企利用海外市场溢价反哺国内价格体系，如比亚迪在欧洲售价较国内高40%。</span></p><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">分析完了行业基本情况后，DeepSeek还给普通消费者提供了实用建议：结合充电条件等个人用车场景、技术偏好和财务规划，在产业变革期优先选择技术延展性强的平台型产品，而非单纯追求短期价差。</span></section><section style="padding-right: 1px; padding-left: 1px; font-size: 16px; color: #3e3e3e; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px;"><section style="text-align: left; justify-content: flex-start; display: flex; flex-flow: row; margin-top: 10px; margin-bottom: 10px;"><section style="display: inline-block; vertical-align: top; width: auto; min-width: 5%; flex: 0 0 auto; height: auto; align-self: stretch;"><section style="display: flex; width: 100%; flex-flow: column;"><section style="z-index: 1;"><section style="font-size: 19px; margin-right: 0%; margin-left: 0%; text-align: center;"><section style="display: inline-block; background-color: #007aaa; width: 1.8em; height: 1.8em; line-height: 1.8em; border-radius: 100%; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; font-size: 20px; color: #ffffff; border: 1px solid #007aaa;"><p><strong>8</strong></p></section></section></section></section></section><section style="display: inline-block; vertical-align: top; width: auto; align-self: stretch; flex: 100 100 0%; height: auto; background-color: rgba(204, 241, 255, 0.42); margin-left: -17px; padding-left: 29px;"><section style="margin-top: 6px;"><section style="text-align: justify; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 1.5;"><p style="white-space: normal;"><strong>信心从何而来？</strong></p></section></section></section></section></section><section style="margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"> </span></section><section style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">小巴问了DeepSeek最后一组问题：2025年我们对经济发展和财富增长的信心由何而来？</span></section><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">令人惊讶的是，DeepSeek察觉到了话外音，发现提问者内心的焦虑感。所以DeepSeek在回答问题时注重平衡乐观和现实，提到存在的挑战，但强调应对能力，试图让答案更有说服力。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">从国内的信心恢复来看，DeepSeek指出当前经济面临的四个核心矛盾：房地产深度调整、债务风险化解、就业结构失衡与外部环境恶化。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">因此，DeepSeek将中国经济调整周期分为三个的阶段：</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; caret-color: #000000; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;">◎ </strong>阵痛期（2024—2026年）：房地产继续出清，部分房企破产，地方财政压力加剧；消费与投资信心低位徘徊，政策以“托底”为主，如保交楼、稳就业、化债。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; caret-color: #000000; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;">◎ </strong>转型期（2026—2030年）：房地产风险基本释放，保障性住房对冲部分需求；新能源、数字经济占比提升，新动能初步显现；居民收入恢复增长，消费升级重启，信心逐渐恢复。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;"><strong style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px; letter-spacing: 1.5px; white-space: normal; caret-color: #000000; background-color: #ffffff; color: #007aaa; visibility: visible;">◎ </strong>新平衡期（2030年以后）：半导体、AI等领域突破，科技自主可控能力提升，服务业与高端制造成为核心驱动力。经济增长质量提升；经济增速在4%左右，但质量提升。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">因此，DeepSeek判断中国经济需要5—8年的调整期，市场信心才能系统性地恢复。但是如果以AI、可控核聚变商业为代表的技术革命爆发，户籍、土地、财税等制度改革超预期，加上全球化回潮，尤其是中美关系缓和，这个周期可以缩短到5年内。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">而从全球的信心恢复来看，DeepSeek强调，我们可以从一些关键变革中汲取力量：</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">技术创新提升全要素生产率，如生成式AI的快速进化；绿色转型创造新增长空间，2025年全球新能源投资达1.7万亿美元；数字革命重构商业模式，全球数字资产市值回升至3万亿美元；区域重构释放市场潜能，覆盖13亿人口的“非洲大陆自由贸易区”启动；制度创新优化资源配置，中国数字人民币交易额占M0的15%。</span></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="color: #000000; font-family: 宋体; font-size: 15px;">最后，DeepSeek表达了谨慎乐观态度：尽管面临地缘政治、债务风险等挑战，但主要经济体已建立规模超30万亿美元的危机应对工具箱。2025年全球经济增速有望回升至3.2%，财富创造将更多来自知识资本、数据资产和绿色技术等新生产要素。</span></p><section class="mp_vote_iframe_wrp"></section><p class="" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; outline: 0px; white-space: normal; letter-spacing: 1.5px; background-color: #ffffff; font-family: -apple-system-font, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; visibility: visible; text-align: justify; margin-left: 16px; margin-right: 16px; margin-bottom: 0px; line-height: 2em;"><span style="font-size: 15px; color: #7e8c8d;">来源：吴晓波频道</span></p></section><p style="display: none;"> </p> <!----></div> 赞一个 准确吗 就是一个大数据局自动机器人，挺好的，会编程的会做app等的会玩的可以深度发掘，普通人就是问问问题，发掘有用，写论文等作业有用
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