今儿个热讯 发表于 2025-9-20 17:16:41

美联储降息落地,人民币汇率会破“7”吗

<!----><style type="text/css">html{font-size:375%}</style><link href="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/static/publish/css/style.css?v=20240712" rel="stylesheet" position="1" data-qf-origin="/static/publish/css/style.css?v=20240712"><!--    付费贴-->    <div class="preview_article ">            <!---->    <section class="channels_iframe_wrp"></section><p class="qf_image big noneditable" contenteditable="false"><img src="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/backend/20250920181630_25_Fpp6vcOQ6FuUlz6BHP539Q3mkJyl.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" alt="" width="2048" height="1365" data-qf-thumb="https://pic.app.58cammp.com/backend/20250920181630_25_Fpp6vcOQ6FuUlz6BHP539Q3mkJyl.jpg?imageView2/2/w/1080|watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" data-qf-origin="backend/20250920181630_25_Fpp6vcOQ6FuUlz6BHP539Q3mkJyl.jpg?watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" data-qf-thumb-origin="backend/20250920181630_25_Fpp6vcOQ6FuUlz6BHP539Q3mkJyl.jpg?imageView2/2/w/1080|watermark/1/image/aHR0cHM6Ly9waWMuYXBwLjU4Y2FtbXAuY29tL2FkbWluX0Z1cUVMWGRZWVNZUEE2WnBub01EdTFXTi1CYW0ucG5n/dissolve/90/gravity/SouthEast" /></p><p style="margin: 0px 8px 30px; padding: 0px; line-height: 1.75em; text-align: justify; word-break: break-word; color: #333333; font-family: Microsoft YaHei, 微软雅黑, Helvetica, Tahoma, Arial, STXihei, 华文细黑, SimSun, 宋体, Heiti, 黑体, sans-serif; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px;">北京时间9月18日凌晨,美联储宣布降息25个基点至4.00%~4.25% ,并暗示年内或再降两次。</span></p><p style="margin: 0px 8px 30px; padding: 0px; line-height: 1.75em; text-align: justify; word-break: break-word; color: #333333; font-family: Microsoft YaHei, 微软雅黑, Helvetica, Tahoma, Arial, STXihei, 华文细黑, SimSun, 宋体, Heiti, 黑体, sans-serif; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px;">市场此前对包括美联储降息等在内的各类美元利空因素已有所消化,从当日表现来看,人民币汇率并未出现大幅波动。人民币对美元中间价报7.1085,较前一日下调72个基点;早间,离岸人民币对美元汇率上扬,盘中再度升破7.10关口。</span></p><p style="margin: 0px 8px 30px; padding: 0px; line-height: 1.75em; text-align: justify; word-break: break-word; color: #333333; font-family: Microsoft YaHei, 微软雅黑, Helvetica, Tahoma, Arial, STXihei, 华文细黑, SimSun, 宋体, Heiti, 黑体, sans-serif; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px;">回顾今年以来,人民币汇率呈复杂波动,年初低位反弹,4月波动企稳,8月下旬大幅升值。</span></p><p style="margin: 0px 8px 30px; padding: 0px; line-height: 1.75em; text-align: justify; word-break: break-word; color: #333333; font-family: Microsoft YaHei, 微软雅黑, Helvetica, Tahoma, Arial, STXihei, 华文细黑, SimSun, 宋体, Heiti, 黑体, sans-serif; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px;">市场分析,美联储降息、跨境资金流动改善、人民币中间价调控等因素促使人民币升值。专家认为,未来人民币汇率将稳中有升,破&ldquo;7&rdquo;仍需更多催化 。</span></p><section style="margin-bottom: 0px; white-space: normal; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; caret-color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.4352px; text-size-adjust: auto; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin: 10px 8px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; border-bottom: 4px solid #4f81bd; text-align: center; line-height: 1.5em; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-bottom: -5px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; border-bottom: 8px solid #4f81bd; border-top-color: #4f81bd; border-right-color: #4f81bd; border-left-color: #4f81bd; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; display: inline-block; color: inherit; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><p style="outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; border-color: #4f81bd; color: #4f81bd; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.5em; background-color: #fefefe; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; border-color: #4f81bd; color: inherit; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">多因素影响人民币升值<br /></strong></span></p></section></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; white-space: normal;"></section><p style="margin: 0px 8px 30px; padding: 0px; line-height: 1.75em; text-align: justify; word-break: break-word; color: #333333; font-family: Microsoft YaHei, 微软雅黑, Helvetica, Tahoma, Arial, STXihei, 华文细黑, SimSun, 宋体, Heiti, 黑体, sans-serif; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px;">近期,随着美联储降息预期持续升温,部分全球主要资产价格已率先作出反应。人民币汇率已在一定程度上对美联储降息预期作出反应。</span></p><p style="margin: 0px 8px 30px; padding: 0px; line-height: 1.75em; text-align: justify; word-break: break-word; color: #333333; font-family: Microsoft YaHei, 微软雅黑, Helvetica, Tahoma, Arial, STXihei, 华文细黑, SimSun, 宋体, Heiti, 黑体, sans-serif; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px;">今年以来,人民币汇率呈现出复杂的波动态势。年初从7.3关口上方波动回升,在4月初经历波动后迅速企稳,进入8月下旬,人民币对美元汇率结束两个月的低波运行,出现较大幅度升值。</span></p><p style="margin: 0px 8px 30px; padding: 0px; line-height: 1.75em; text-align: justify; word-break: break-word; color: #333333; font-family: Microsoft YaHei, 微软雅黑, Helvetica, Tahoma, Arial, STXihei, 华文细黑, SimSun, 宋体, Heiti, 黑体, sans-serif; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px;">相比在岸人民币对美元汇率,离岸人民币对美元更多反映国际投资者预期。继9月17日后,18日早间,离岸人民币对美元汇率上扬,盘中再度升破7.10关口。</span></p><p style="margin: 0px 8px 30px; padding: 0px; line-height: 1.75em; text-align: justify; word-break: break-word; color: #333333; font-family: Microsoft YaHei, 微软雅黑, Helvetica, Tahoma, Arial, STXihei, 华文细黑, SimSun, 宋体, Heiti, 黑体, sans-serif; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px;">东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青表示,近日人民币对美元汇价走高,主要是美联储9月降息迫近,且市场对年底前美联储还有可能进一步较大幅度降息的预期升温,美元指数显著下行。这给包括人民币在内的非美元货币带来较强的被动升值。</span></p><p style="margin: 0px 8px 30px; padding: 0px; line-height: 1.75em; text-align: justify; word-break: break-word; color: #333333; font-family: Microsoft YaHei, 微软雅黑, Helvetica, Tahoma, Arial, STXihei, 华文细黑, SimSun, 宋体, Heiti, 黑体, sans-serif; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px;">近期跨境资金流动改善,也带动人民币汇率加速升值。</span></p><p style="margin: 0px 8px 30px; padding: 0px; line-height: 1.75em; text-align: justify; word-break: break-word; color: #333333; font-family: Microsoft YaHei, 微软雅黑, Helvetica, Tahoma, Arial, STXihei, 华文细黑, SimSun, 宋体, Heiti, 黑体, sans-serif; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px;">王青表示,近期国内股市保持强势,外资加速流入。这在带动结汇需求增加的同时,也在改善汇市情绪。</span></p><p style="margin: 0px 8px 30px; padding: 0px; line-height: 1.75em; text-align: justify; word-break: break-word; color: #333333; font-family: Microsoft YaHei, 微软雅黑, Helvetica, Tahoma, Arial, STXihei, 华文细黑, SimSun, 宋体, Heiti, 黑体, sans-serif; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px;">外汇局数据显示,7月,银行结汇和售汇规模环比分别增长12%和16%,结售汇延续顺差态势,规模为228亿美元。企业、个人等主体结汇率环比小幅上升,售汇率基本持平,说明市场预期稳定,交易较为活跃。</span></p><p style="margin: 0px 8px 30px; padding: 0px; line-height: 1.75em; text-align: justify; word-break: break-word; color: #333333; font-family: Microsoft YaHei, 微软雅黑, Helvetica, Tahoma, Arial, STXihei, 华文细黑, SimSun, 宋体, Heiti, 黑体, sans-serif; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px;">人民币对美元中间价报价也释放较强的汇率预期引导信号。7月以来人民币对美元中间价保持渐进升值,释放的引导信号逐渐被市场吸纳。</span></p><p style="margin: 0px 8px 30px; padding: 0px; line-height: 1.75em; text-align: justify; word-break: break-word; color: #333333; font-family: Microsoft YaHei, 微软雅黑, Helvetica, Tahoma, Arial, STXihei, 华文细黑, SimSun, 宋体, Heiti, 黑体, sans-serif; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px;">中信证券首席经济学家明明表示,8月下旬,</span><strong style="font-weight: bold;"><span style="font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #4f81bd;">在美元指数偏弱运行创造了相对温和的外部环境、央行中间价报价释放较强的汇率预期引导,以及近期国内权益市场表现亮眼或一定程度吸引了外资流入等内外因素共振的驱动下,人民币汇率经历了一轮快速升值</span></strong><span style="font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px;">,美元对在岸人民币汇率录得年内新低。</span></p><section style="margin-bottom: 0px; white-space: normal; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; caret-color: #333333; font-family: -apple-system, BlinkMacSystemFont, Helvetica Neue, PingFang SC, Hiragino Sans GB, Microsoft YaHei UI, Microsoft YaHei, Arial, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 0.4352px; text-size-adjust: auto; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; font-size: 16px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin: 10px 8px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; border-bottom: 4px solid #4f81bd; text-align: center; line-height: 1.5em; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><section style="margin-bottom: -5px; outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; border-bottom: 8px solid #4f81bd; border-top-color: #4f81bd; border-right-color: #4f81bd; border-left-color: #4f81bd; font-size: 14px; line-height: 20px; display: inline-block; color: inherit; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><p style="outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; border-color: #4f81bd; color: #4f81bd; font-size: 18px; line-height: 1.5em; background-color: #fefefe; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><span style="outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; letter-spacing: 1px; font-size: 17px; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;"><strong style="outline: 0px; max-width: 100%; border-color: #4f81bd; color: inherit; box-sizing: border-box !important; overflow-wrap: break-word !important;">人民币汇率仍将以稳为主</strong></span></p></section></section></section></section><section style="margin-right: 8px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 8px; white-space: normal;"></section><p style="margin: 0px 8px 30px; padding: 0px; line-height: 1.75em; text-align: justify; word-break: break-word; color: #333333; font-family: Microsoft YaHei, 微软雅黑, Helvetica, Tahoma, Arial, STXihei, 华文细黑, SimSun, 宋体, Heiti, 黑体, sans-serif; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px;">对全球金融市场而言,美联储重启降息周期将推动全球流动性条件边际改善,从历史经验看,美联储降息通常会缓解新兴市场资本外流压力,支撑风险资产价格。</span></p><p style="margin: 0px 8px 30px; padding: 0px; line-height: 1.75em; text-align: justify; word-break: break-word; color: #333333; font-family: Microsoft YaHei, 微软雅黑, Helvetica, Tahoma, Arial, STXihei, 华文细黑, SimSun, 宋体, Heiti, 黑体, sans-serif; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px;">&ldquo;对人民币资产而言,中美利差收窄将缓解贬值压力,但国内经济基本面仍将是决定外资流向的关键因素。&rdquo;王青称。</span></p><p style="margin: 0px 8px 30px; padding: 0px; line-height: 1.75em; text-align: justify; word-break: break-word; color: #333333; font-family: Microsoft YaHei, 微软雅黑, Helvetica, Tahoma, Arial, STXihei, 华文细黑, SimSun, 宋体, Heiti, 黑体, sans-serif; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px;">综合市场分析来看,我国经济稳中向好势头将进一步巩固,在政策协同发力与基本面支撑下,未来人民币汇率将在合理均衡水平上保持基本稳定。</span></p><p style="margin: 0px 8px 30px; padding: 0px; line-height: 1.75em; text-align: justify; word-break: break-word; color: #333333; font-family: Microsoft YaHei, 微软雅黑, Helvetica, Tahoma, Arial, STXihei, 华文细黑, SimSun, 宋体, Heiti, 黑体, sans-serif; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px;">明明认为,人民币汇率有望震荡偏强,并逐步回归&ldquo;三价合一&rdquo;。</span><strong style="font-weight: bold;"><span style="font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px; color: #4f81bd;">随着年底的临近,若人民币汇率能维持偏强震荡,预计相关结汇需求有望继续支撑人民币汇率,但当前国内基本面对于汇率而言更多起到托底作用,权益市场迎来外资流入但债券市场面临一定流出压力,预计人民币汇率破&ldquo;7&rdquo;仍需要更多催化。</span></strong></p><p style="margin: 0px 8px 30px; padding: 0px; line-height: 1.75em; text-align: justify; word-break: break-word; color: #333333; font-family: Microsoft YaHei, 微软雅黑, Helvetica, Tahoma, Arial, STXihei, 华文细黑, SimSun, 宋体, Heiti, 黑体, sans-serif; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px;">广开首席产业研究院院长连平认为,人民币有望加快恢复性升值。境外资金有望在一定程度上加快流向人民币资产,中美利差进一步收窄将吸引更多全球资金关注人民币资产。对于全球投资者而言,其本质是追求资产收益的最大化。在新的利差预期变化下,投资人民币资产能够带来更为可观的收益,促使其重新调整资产配置组合,增加对中国债券、股票等资产的持有比例,尤其是一些被低估优质资产和具备较高增长潜力的资产,从而有可能带来更多增量流动性。但在中国经济仍面临内外压力的背景下,对此应审慎对待。</span></p><p style="margin: 0px 8px 30px; padding: 0px; line-height: 1.75em; text-align: justify; word-break: break-word; color: #333333; font-family: Microsoft YaHei, 微软雅黑, Helvetica, Tahoma, Arial, STXihei, 华文细黑, SimSun, 宋体, Heiti, 黑体, sans-serif; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px;">王青认为,伴随美联储降息以及美国经济降温,美元指数还将承受一定下行压力,这将为人民币带来被动升值动能。不过,由于上半年美元跌幅巨大,后期也会有较强的抗跌韧性。国内基本面方面,四季度外部波动对我国出口的影响会逐步显现,而逆周期调节政策适时加力将确保经济运行基本稳定。这方面有充足的政策空间,将为人民币汇率提供重要的内在支撑。由此,接下来人民币汇率仍将以稳为主,快速升值或大幅贬值的风险都不大。</span></p><p style="margin: 0px 8px 30px; padding: 0px; line-height: 1.75em; text-align: justify; word-break: break-word; color: #333333; font-family: Microsoft YaHei, 微软雅黑, Helvetica, Tahoma, Arial, STXihei, 华文细黑, SimSun, 宋体, Heiti, 黑体, sans-serif; font-size: medium; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; white-space: normal; background-color: #ffffff; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="font-size: 16px; letter-spacing: 1px;">来源:第一财经资讯</span></p><section class="channels_iframe_wrp"></section><section class="channels_iframe_wrp"></section><section class="mp_profile_iframe_wrp" style="margin-bottom: 0px;"></section><p style="display: none;">&nbsp;</p>    <!----></div>            

onlyyou1111 发表于 2025-9-20 19:25:27

出口现在跌成啥样了,还破7

柬影 发表于 2025-9-20 17:23:09

不知道

九老板 发表于 2025-9-20 17:26:28

加油加油

西港华盛新闻部 发表于 2025-9-20 20:10:57

原始逻辑 发表于 2025-9-20 23:11:06

吃瓜群众已就位

新马泰日韩欧美 发表于 2025-9-20 23:45:24

破666666666

新马泰日韩欧美 发表于 2025-9-20 23:45:34

6666666?。

夜鹰 发表于 2025-9-21 01:35:17

加油!

柬巴基印度印尼 发表于 2025-9-21 02:21:04

破999999999
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